Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.392312 3.794551 4.230526 4.738991 5.316742 5.953979 6.711668
2024-11-03 2.824589 3.362432 3.987171 4.769596 5.727653 6.868048 8.336470
2024-11-10 2.507983 3.128512 3.888043 4.892714 6.196512 7.844530 10.106375
2024-11-17 2.246606 2.909489 3.755810 4.926221 6.519499 8.636644 11.702850
2024-11-24 2.043920 2.732679 3.644275 4.954220 6.813129 9.393985 13.314384
2024-12-01 1.878099 2.582182 3.544098 4.974221 7.080600 10.123132 14.950223
2024-12-08 1.698949 2.392936 3.367475 4.860031 7.131385 10.529174 16.133262
2024-12-15 1.572429 2.265120 3.263152 4.834992 7.302150 11.118163 17.651267
2024-12-22 1.456827 2.142088 3.152888 4.786274 7.424487 11.633959 19.097480
2024-12-29 1.414697 2.124514 3.197234 4.977527 7.940237 12.824435 21.811261
2025-01-05 1.332373 2.037801 3.126575 4.976083 8.135795 13.497271 23.693150
2025-01-12 1.253176 1.949513 3.045547 4.948413 8.280522 14.091008 25.493522
2025-01-19 1.130024 1.784068 2.831271 4.684352 8.000423 13.924051 25.877824
2025-01-26 1.071678 1.720399 2.779363 4.694325 8.207089 14.658226 28.103521
2025-02-02 1.037974 1.694902 2.788698 4.811238 8.617553 15.811817 31.321010
2025-02-09 0.992376 1.645681 2.753219 4.843332 8.870426 16.686958 34.075370
2025-02-16 0.949795 1.598497 2.717365 4.870651 9.114805 17.567991 36.959066
2025-02-23 0.909426 1.552294 2.679556 4.890245 9.344163 18.440025 39.940408
2025-03-02 0.853044 1.473766 2.577738 4.778199 9.296481 18.726880 41.610423
2025-03-09 0.813449 1.423043 2.523274 4.753629 9.424968 19.399954 44.283804
2025-03-16 0.773673 1.369486 2.459853 4.705827 9.499294 19.960491 46.759258
2025-03-23 0.766565 1.376258 2.510825 4.893481 10.096347 21.757018 52.618596
2025-03-30 0.736586 1.337814 2.472025 4.892064 10.277187 22.615180 56.169218